Latino voters shifted sharply toward Democrats in the November 3 U.S. midterm elections, helping power victories in Texas and competitive congressional districts, The Associated Press reported November 6.

About one-third of Hispanic voters backed Republicans in their local House contests, compared with roughly four in 10 who supported Donald Trump for president in 2024, according to AP’s voter surveys.

In Texas, AP reported that every county voted more Democratic than in 2024, with generally larger shifts in more heavily Hispanic counties.

Democrats also won every House district touching the Mexican border for the first time since 2008, across Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California.

Allentown’s Democratic mayor, Matt Tuerk, cautioned that the party’s renewed support depended on delivering its campaign promises, AP reported.

The Latino shift accompanied a broader movement among younger, Black, moderate and lower-income voters documented in AP’s November 4 demographic analysis.

Approximately seven in 10 voters younger than 30 supported Democratic House candidates, while about three in 10 backed Republicans.

In AP’s 2024 survey, that age group had been roughly divided between Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.

Younger voters nevertheless represented only about one-tenth of the midterm electorate, limiting the numerical impact of their swing.

Among Black men, approximately one in 10 supported Republican House candidates, compared with roughly one-quarter who backed Trump in 2024.

Roughly two-thirds of moderate voters supported Democratic House candidates, up from approximately six in 10 who supported Harris.

More than half of voters reporting household income below US$50,000 supported Democratic House candidates; those voters had been approximately evenly divided in the previous presidential election.

AP’s survey involved more than 100,000 voters across all 50 states, using interviews conducted from October 19 through November 3 in Alaska and October 22 through November 3 elsewhere.

The reported sampling margin was plus or minus 0.6 percentage points for the full sample.

Sources